Probability Slot Machine Random
If you’re the type of person who isn’t that great at Blackjack or Poker and feel left out when you go with your friends to a casino, you can always spend your time on the slot machines. Slot Machines are those big boxes shaped like vending machines that have bright, flashy lights and play wonky circus music. In a big casino like the ones in Macau or Las Vegas, you will have rooms with rows of slot machines and slot machines in random corners of the casino. They are the perfect gambling entertainment for the rookie gambler and the newbie casino goer. It’s a simple game and I will try to explain how it works and your chances of winning a jackpot.
All slot machines will have the same type of features. They will have:
- For example, let us take that the odds are 4 to 1. Then, the probability would be found by using the following equation: 1 / (1+4) = 1/5. In other words, the probability in this case would equal to 1/5, or 20%. What players need to know is the fact that the so-called “evens” are odds of 1 to 1. They are always paid even money.
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In this case, the slot machine has a payout ratio of 99.53%, which is very nice, but in a real casino, you will not find the same results. The average returns of slots online casinos will be between 94% and 98%. The table also clearly shows how single coin wins affect payouts. You’re playing a game with lemons as one of the primary symbols. The probability of getting a lemon on each reel is 1/10. If you get 3 lemons, you win 900 coins. The probability of getting 3 lemons is 1/10 X 1/10 X 1/10, or 1/1000. In odds terms, that’s 999 to 1.
- A Lever: It’s the big handle that sticks out from the side of the machine. If you pull it, you start the game.
- Reels: The spinning wheels inside the machine that have different types of symbols and pictures on them. They start turning once you pull the lever. Then all the reels start turning and stop one-by-one from left to right. You win the game based on the arrangement of the types of symbols that appear on the reels. There are generally in most slot machines three spinning reels.
There are two types of slot machines that are based on how they are made. There is the classic, mechanical slot machine that turns with the reels with gears and pulleys, and the modern, computerized slot machine that uses a computer program to turn the reels. The computerized slot machines can allow casinos to be really creative, and sneaky, with how they set them up.
Let’s set up a make-believe mechanical slot machine that has three reels with 64 symbols on each. To make things simple, to get a jackpot, you need to have a ‘7’ symbol on each reel, other combinations are losers. The first reel has no effect on where the second reel stops, and the second reel has no effect on where the third reel stops, making each reel independent of the other reels.
- If each reel has 64 symbols, of which only the ‘7’ symbol can let us win, therefore the probability of getting a ‘7’ on the first reel is 1 out of 64.
- Since all the reels are identical, that means the probability of getting a ‘7’ on the second reel is also 1 out of 64.
- Same like before, the probability of getting a ‘7’ on the third reel is also 1 out of 64.
- Since each reel is an independent event, the formula to calculate the probability of getting a ‘7’ on each reel is P(Three ‘7’s) = P(‘7’ on first reel)*P(‘7’ on second reel)*P(‘7’ on third reel)
- Therefore: P(Three ‘7’s or Jackpot) = (1/64)(1/64)(1/64) = 1/262144 or 1/(2^18)
- The odds of getting a jackpot or three ‘7’s in a row are: P(Jackpot)/P(Losing) = P(Jackpot)=P'(Jackpot) = P(Jackpot)=(1-P(Jackpot)) = (1/262144)/(262143/262144) = 1:262143. If you really think about it, it seems almost impossible to win.
People sometimes think that some machines are hotter than others in the way that they are more likely to give a jackpot because more people have played them before, when in fact it is not true at all! Because the reels are independent events and each lever pull is a new event every time, your odds of winning a jackpot will remain 1:262143, even if you play for 12 hours straight non-stop.
The Computerized Slot Machines are harder to calculate because they use complex computer programs to generate the random numbers for which symbol appears on the machine. I won’t be able to give you a calculation, but I will try to explain how casinos use probability to ruin our chances of winning:
- Let’s say we use a 3-reeled machine that has 21 symbols this time on each one.
- First the lever is pulled
- The computer generates three random numbers. For example: 12,34,56. The first number tells which symbol will appear on the first reel and so on.
- If you noticed, we have 21 symbols, so why are there numbers like 34 or 56? This is because there actually 4 reels, 3 mechanical and 1 virtual, in the matrix…
- The virtual reel has 64 numbers from 1 to 64 (could also be 32 or 128 and so on). Each of these 64 numbers match to one of the 21 symbols in each reel.
- But that would mean some of the 21 symbols will have more numbers from the virtual reel than others. Exactly, that means so symbols are more likely to appear than others. So your chance of getting a jackpot number in one reel is not 1 out of 21, but even less.
- What casinos will do is have the symbols that appear before and after the jackpot symbol on each reel to be those symbols with more numbers on the virtual reel. It gives the false idea to players like us that we are so close to winning, and so we need to play more until we get a Jackpot, but in reality you’re being a tricked and are losing a lot of money.
So next time your friends abandon you at the bar while they make millions, or lose them, at the Blackjack or Poker table, you can entertain yourself with a slot machine, but will be more prepared to stop if you think you’re close to winning after 20 pulls.
(some random dude on Google :P)
Casino and gambling can be a lot of fun, especially when players do not understand the mathematics behind it, but being aware of these matters would offer players more fundamental understanding of the way probabilities and odds work.
Odds and probabilities are some of the most important aspects of gambling mathematics. They could be related even to the pay-off of a certain game. For example, there is an even money situation when it is explained that a bet pays off at the same odds as the probability of winning the bet.
Probabilities
Probabilities are often described as the very backbone of gambling mathematics.
Informally, probability is understood as the chance or the likelihood that a certain event will happen. It is also considered to be an estimate of the corresponding average frequency that is applied for a certain event to occur in a series of independent trials that have been repeated.
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The relative frequency of an event is somewhere between the probability of the event never to occur or always to occur, which basically means that it is always between 0% and 100%. Knowing how to use the probability would provide casino players with the opportunity to predict the eventual occurrence of an event. Unfortunately, it would not give them the chance to predict the exact moment when the event is to occur.
Probability Slot Machine Random Picker
In addition, probability in gambling mathematics can be used when determining the conditions for acquiring certain results or even some financial expectations of a game in particular in the long term. Probabilities could also be helpful when determining how favourable a certain game would be and is it worth playing. This aspect of the matter is usually expressed as odds, as well as a fraction or a decimal fraction. Still, casino players should be aware of the fact that odds and probabilities are different things.
The estimate of the likelihood of a player winning divided by the total amount of available chances is called probability. The latter is also an ordinary fraction that can be expressed as a proportion between 0 and 1, or as a percentage.
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What casino players should understand first is the formal theory of probability and are recommended to start with the term that is known as the “sample space”. It may sound somehow strange, but as a matter of fact, this is purely a description of all outcomes possible, or other words – of everything that can possibly happen. It is quite normal for sample spaces to be very large when it comes to casino games. As a matter of fact, they simply reflect the idea that too many things could actually happen to count them all.
Probability Of A Slot Machine
The sample space is something that may occur in a large number of experiments and can normally be understood easily when considering the nature of the experiment. Still, the sample space does not have to be described in a explicit way.
Probability Slot Machine
Players will need be aware of some details in order to calculate the probability of a certain event. First, they will need a full count of the number of individual elements in the sample space. In addition, they will need to know the number of the individual elements related to the event. Once a player knows these values, they will be able to define the probability of the event by using the equation:
P(event) = Size of event / Size of the sample space
As shown in the equation, the letter P is used as a substitute of the word “probability”. What is not so evident by the above-mentioned equation is how the player should count the size of a variety of collections. Unfortunately, the counting problems in the gambling industry can be too complex. Of course, probabilities can be quickly calculated when counting is easy.
Probability Slot Machine Random Game
Odds
The most general definition of odds is the probability of a certain event happening in comparison to the probability of the same event not happening.
Probability Slot Machine Random Wheel Spinner
Odds are considered as ratios of the player's chances of losing to the likelihood of winning. In other words, they are the average frequency of a player's eventual loss to the average frequency of a win. As already mentioned above, odds are often mistaken with probabilities, but they are not the same thing.
As a matter of fact, odds almost never mean the actual likelihood of generating a win when it comes to gambling. In most cases, the term is used as a reference to a subjective estimate of the odds, and not as an exact mathematical calculation.
For example, if a player owns 1 of a total of 4 tickets, their probability to win is 1 in 4. Their odds, on the other hand, are 3 to 1. In order for a player to convert odds to probability, they need to take the likelihood for them to win, then use it as the numerator and divide by the total number of chances, including the ones for both winning and losing.
For example, let us take that the odds are 4 to 1. Then, the probability would be found by using the following equation:
1 / (1+4) = 1/5
In other words, the probability in this case would equal to 1/5, or 20%. What players need to know is the fact that the so-called “evens” are odds of 1 to 1. They are always paid even money.
The term “odds” could also be used as a substitute of the true odds that are the actual chances of winning. There are also payout odds, which represent the ratio of payout for each unit bet.
Just like probabilities, odds can also be expressed as a ratio of two numbers. The first number comes to represent the expected frequency of the occurrence of a specific outcome, and this is actually exactly what probabilities are. The second number, however, represents only the number of the rest of the possible outcomes. In comparison to probabilities, which could be expressed as percentages, odds are always displayed as ratios.